We now know who's running for what seat. Can't say it's all that interesting as far as poll results will go, but there might be some interesting personalities involved.
Let's look at who is entertaining us running for office this time around.
Here's what you need to know - It's Al Weisenberger's race to lose. Once he got in, it changed everything. He's extremely well known in the district. He's not all that different than Rick Bonart on a lot of issues. He's got the backing of both sides of the business community (there are two or three sides and they are all aligned with Weisenberger now). I know my buddy Jaime Abeytia thinks he got in too late, but he also doesn't know all that much about that district. Weisenberger is a name everybody knows. (Full disclosure - Weisenberger represented me on my DWI years ago).
Rick Bonart is still very strong and very well known in the district. There's nothing saying he couldn't easily win this race given that most of the voters who vote in an off year election know Bonart. He has been a fixture at community events for decades. If you've ever wanted to advocate for something on the west side or for parks or other outdoor areas, you know Rick Bonart. He's also a veterinarian, which means he has had constant interaction with people in his district for a long time. And let's not forget - as far as issues go, Rick Bonart is the most knowledgeable on them. He knows them better than most of the current city council members. If you're a district 1 candidate, you don't want to debate Bonart... at least not in front of potential voters.
Peter Svarzbein - He's kind of a nicely framed wreck. I've been over all the weird stuff he's doing with money and people in the district won't trust him for it. He's also nothing like the people who have traditionally held that seat on city council. He's only walking to houses on the democratic list that the local party has. It is likely he's working with Jaime Abeytia, County Commissioner Vince Perez and City Councilor Claudia Ordaz for his "ground game." You can tell because Abeytia keeps saying nobody else in the district has a chance when it's obvious they are out in front of his guy by a mile. Don't blame him - that's what you do when you're in the business. However, Svarzbein is going to lose voters because he's got the Lower Valley Machine running is upper-westside campaign. Nobody wants him to be owned by who owns him now.
There are other candidates, but they aren't going get many votes. We'll spare them the pain of hearing about it here.
Representative Dr. Noe has done a pretty good job. People like him. Although he's getting a little static for appointing Jaime Abeytia to the Hispanic museum advisory board. Noe is like naming Abeytia to the board as a favor to Rep. Ordaz and he probably should have not done that. Ordaz's boyfriend had hired Abeytia and then he took a lot of heat for it, so it would be bad if Ordaz threw Abeytia bone as well. They think he deserves a seat at the table and got Noe to offer it.
Will that kill Dr. Noe? No. Will it hurt for a minute? Yes.
Noe's opponent is quite a paradox. And a fox. Rosa Arellano is:
2. Likely Jewish... judging by her facebook pictures
3. Hot... judging by her facebook pictures
5. Runs a nonprofit that more often than not is a liberal cause
7. Not a Democrat
Could Dr. Noe have an opponent that is a good challenge here? No. All he has to do is call her a "Republican" and nobody will vote for her. His district is Democratic - very Democratic.
However, that doesn't mean I won't be watching Ms. Arellano's campaign very closely. You know, because I'm all about the execution of strategy and stuff.
Rep. Claudia Ordaz is a hot Latina.
Michael Pickett is a white guy.
Ordaz wins easily.
Sorry folks, some parts of El Paso are just like that.
Rep. Cortney Niland is kind of the lightning rod on council these days. She's got the best ideas and is blamed for all the bad ones too. Whatever she's been doing has worked since she didn't draw an opponent.
Also running in the district is Joshua Dagda. He is not an "opponent" here - just a name on a report. His occupation is listed as "businessman," which is the word you us when you forget how to spell "unemployed." He also says he's only lived in the district for five months. I'm not sure if the law says you have to be in the district six months before filing for office or on election day. Either way, anyone who hasn't been in that district for a long time can't win - be it five months for five years.
If I were Niland I'd pretend the guy doesn't even exist.