I'll make at least a couple of you happy by once again posting all the ins and outs of this Voter ID issue. Pay attention and use your brain, not your party allegiance, to understand what I'm writing here.
So, Attorney General Eric Holder did what we all thought he would do - messed with Texas. President Obama's administration has been particularly hard on Texas from the day he was sworn into office. If he wasn't sacking NASA and the majority of its employees located in Houston, he was specifically denying federal aid to the state for everything from illegal immigration to storm cleanup. Their latest assault was expected - it was simply a matter of when it would be politically expedient to announce the move.
First of all, Texas' case is a little unique. Other states have passed voter ID laws with no interference from the federal government. Why did Texas get stopped when others weren't? Texas has a history of "voter discrimination" and that means any changes they make to their voting laws must get federal approval from either the Justice Department or the U.S. District Court in Washington, D.C. And just in case you wanted to know - the "voter discrimination" was the fault of democrats in Texas who were some of the top performing racists in the history of the nation. Please proudly proclaim yourself a democrat anytime you want and remember that your party was the party of the Klan. This may be a little awkward for you non-white democrats in El Paso, though.
The Justice Department under every single modern president has played politics with state laws. Sometimes they have won in court, many other times they have lost. What's happening now is par for course. So please don't think that the Justice Department, run by Attorney General Eric Holder - a political motivated appointee facing numerous career ending scandals - is some kind of impartial body whose rulings are infallible, because that simply isn't the case. Justice Department decisions, fueled by politics, in the past have been made just to annoy an enemy and are quickly overturned by a panel of judges. This is what is in the process of happening right now.
It should be noted that the voter ID law is not the only thing that Texas has done that the Obama administration is reviewing or stopping - it's just the most noteworthy. It's a war and there are a lot of battles going on you never hear about. All red states are being picked on by Obama - it's a strategy.
Here are some of the problems I see with the Justice Department's claim and some general thoughts and facts about the issue as a whole.
First of all, if you think the concept of a voter ID requirement is something that is born out of some kind of republican strategy to make sure only white people vote, don't read any further. I don't want to deflate your unfounded conspiracy theories on which you rely to make your world make sense. Seriously, stop reading after this sentence ends if you want to retain any thought that voter ID laws are only suggested and supported by republicans.
Click HERE to read a section in the 2005 Report of the Commission on Federal Election Reform called "Building Confidence in U.S. Elections." The commission recommends all states implement a voter ID law that is consistent across the board. Their reasoning is simple - it's too easy to get away with voter fraud without the requirement.
So what noted racist republican chaired this committee that would come up with such a racist policy? President Jimmy Carter. Former South Dakota Senator,Tom Daschle along with a bunch of other democrats were on the committee as well. Former Secretary of State and universally loved American icon - James Baker co-chaired the committee with Carter.
Apparently voter ID isn't a partisan issue - it's just a matter of good policy. That's from the mouth of the second most liberal president we've ever had.
What's interesting about the report is that it brings up a common excuse for not implementing voter ID laws - there's not enough of a problem with voter fraud to enact laws to stop it. They easily dismantle that argument with the very real prospect of millions of people committing voter fraud and there being no way to stop it (I personally think it's already happening and is quite widespread).
Many of the laws in the United States do fall under the category of "a solution looking for a problem" and we don't seem to have any problem with them. You see, there's no problem with people detonating nuclear devices in the United States, yet there's a law against making and having them. I think we'd all agree that's a good law to have on the books just in case the problem does arise some time in the future.
I personally think that it's laughable to assume that no crime is being committed because people aren't getting caught. To vote in place of someone in Texas is only a matter of having access to their voter registration card and being of the same sex. Currently poll workers are legally barred from probing into the identity of a voter who has a valid registration card. This makes voting for others too easy not to be in practice all over Texas. I'll explain.
I recently moved from Texas. I was registered to vote at 1224 Belvidere Street. I'm willing to bet good money that the county sends me my voter registration card this year even though I live in Virginia and registered to vote there.
When I first moved into the house in Texas, I received the voter registration card for the former owners of the house before the 2008 presidential election. The former owners of the house had been gone a year living in south Texas at that point. I'm willing to bet it happens again, only it will be my voter registration card and the former owners showing up this time.
Whoever is living at my house now can do one of two things with my voter registration card. They can return it to the county letting them know that I don't live there anymore. Or, they can give it to any male they choose and he go can go cast a vote at the Monte Vista Retirement home in my name. Nobody would know the difference. Well, unless I checked the voter rolls after the election to see if anyone voted with my card (which I plan on doing).
And that's the key - the only way a person would know that someone is voting for them is if they took the time to audit the files at the county elections department to see what their voting record is. How many people in El Paso don't vote? How easy would it be to re-register them to an address where you control the mail and then vote for them. If the person never votes, what are the chances they'll check with the county to make sure nobody intercepted their voter registration card and voted in their name? I say almost zero.
The only way to combat this fraud is to require a photo ID. Remember, the voter registration card does not have a picture on it - there is currently no verification other than good old fashioned trust. Would you trust everyone out there?
A long time ago I wrote out an entire scenario of how to commit voter fraud and was asked nicely by state officials to please not publicise the gigantic holes in their system. They admitted they had no legal authority to stop me, but asked nicely that I not give anyone any ideas. I was more than happy to bury that post on this blog, but it still exists if you're a savvy searcher.
So, when you hear people claiming "but they are so few prosecutions of people voting for others, so it must not be going on" you can rebut by reminding that person that it's a crime that's almost impossible to catch someone committing. Although, intellectually honest people will not make that argument and you shouldn't be arguing with morons.
Let's move onto the nuts and bolts of the Justice Department's claim.
Obviously requiring a picture ID to vote will severely diminish voter turnout and it will be worst amongst democratic leaning voters, right? Click HERE and read carefully - turnout in Georgia INCREASED after voter ID laws were put in place. Not only didn't the dramatic claims of mass voter disfranchisement not come true, turnout actually increased. If you're looking for a case study to prop your claims up on, actual elections in real states aren't going to help you make your claim of diminishing turnout with voter ID laws. The panel of judges reviewing Texas' law will have to consider these facts.
This year's primaries in many states have continued the trend of proving the claim of low voter turnout due to disfranchisement wrong.
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The idea that minorities and old people are somehow adversely affected by the ID requirement has not held water with the Supreme Court. You can click HERE to see how they ruled in Indiana's case. It is likely that any challenge to Texas' law will end up in the Supreme Court. Of course, this wouldn't be "again" because Texas will be challenging their status given to them in the voting rights act and the federal government's oversight of their laws - the Indiana case establishes the constitutionality of the law.
The problem the folks who brought the lawsuit against the State of Indiana had was the same one the people in Texas will have - proving their claims about old people, minorities and democrats.
If you read Norma Chavez's blog you'll see that she said 700,000 people in Texas don't have IDs. Other folks claim that anywhere from 100,000 to 200,000 don't have IDs. The numbers aren't consistent by any means and it makes people wonder if they're made up.
Norma Chavez says 700,000 people don't have IDs, and you have to give some credence to her claim. She was a state legislator with access to people and groups who try to track these types of statistics. Press reports often cite the 100,000 to 200,000 number, so they must be getting that from somewhere or someone respectable and honest, right? Wrong.
Anytime someone answers your question of "how many?" with "well, it's X amount or twice that amount" you have to wonder if they know what they're talking about. Just think about that for a second. Can you imagine missing the mark by 100,000 people at a concert? That's a big deal. That's an admission of "I don't know."
The reason that's important is because the panel of judges, or the Supreme Court is going to want to know how the Justice Department came up with the number. And the Justice Department can't just say "well Norma Chavez said so." They have to have empirical data. That means showing exactly how they found 100,000 people without IDs.
Think about that for a second... take another second - don't speed through this.
Okay, opponents of the voter ID bill somehow figured out how to track down 100,000 (or 200,000 depending on how your feel at the moment) who do not have an ID. How do you find someone without an ID? What search methods did you use? Do you have names and addresses so that we can have these people testify as to why they don't have an ID?
These are questions a panel of judges will ask. And they're going to get even more specific with their questions.
Why are Hispanic people less likely to have an ID than non-Hispanics? What barriers are there to somebody of Hispanic origin getting an ID? If there are barriers, how come a civil rights lawsuit hasn't been filed on their behalf? Institutional racism was outlawed in the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and more specifically before that with the "separate but equal" legal doctrine that was misguided, but clear in its intent to deny nobody the same governmental amenities based on race or ethnicity.
The same questions will likely be asked about the claim that old people are likely not to have an ID. An explanation of why will be required. Ditto for the democrat label as well. And that's going to be the hardest thing to prove of all - that old people and Hispanics are democrats. And there's an interesting caveat to proving this.
If a judge was to believe that a voter ID law adversely and specifically affected this group, he or she would have to come to that conclusion based on racial profiling. Just think about what would happen if a cop made an assumption about someone's behavior based on their age and race - he'd be in big trouble. So why is it okay to racially profile these people when it comes to the voter ID law? Just because you think something is a "fact" based on what you suggest is "common knowledge" doesn't make it so under the law. You're engaging in profiling whether you want to admit it or not.
The bottom line - proving to a panel of judges that these people without IDs exist is going to be hard enough. Proving their race, age and party affiliation are correlated will be harder. Explaining why they don't have an ID or can't get one and showing where the law in question doesn't provide an opportunity for them to obtain one will be the hardest thing to do.
As noted in the Indiana Supreme Court case, it would be an easier case to try if it was brought on behalf of an individual who was denied a ballot due to not having an ID. Having an actual victim, instead of potential victims, lets a judge understand exactly what circumstances led them to the point where they were denied the ability to vote. The judge could examine the facts surrounding the case, not the projected outcome of someone's opinion on the matter.
It is likely that someone will file suit if a panel of judges rules in favor of the State of Texas. That will be an interesting case when it is tried.
So that's where we sit - in a place where myth meets fact. I have no trust that the panel of judges who hear this case will rule in favor of the State of Texas due to the overwhelmingly liberal make up of judges in this country. I do, however, think the subsequent Supreme Court case will go Texas' way since there's a conservative majority on the court.
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I have another interesting question to bring up when it comes to this idea that requiring people to show an ID when voting is discriminatory. If having to show an ID to vote discriminates against a certain segment of the population, don't all other public functions requiring an ID also discriminate against them? You have to show a federal employee a picture ID to get on a plane - how is that any different than having to show one to a poll worker? It's not. The same goes for any other government program and the post office.
And before you bring up the specific argument of "impediment to voting," you must understand that the onerous registration system is a severe impediment to voting along with the deadlines for registration before an election. You can't say that some impediments are good and others are not.
Anywho, just something to think about.
I'll be curious to meet one of these people without an ID and see why they can't get one and how they survive in today's world without a picture ID.
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