I’m still in the middle of moving my family, so I haven’t had a lot of time in the evenings to write about everything I want to. I’ve got a couple things both new and old I want to chat about.
Looks like the news media missed a good opportunity to follow up on the “civility” problems with council yesterday. The mayor closed out the second meeting of the day with a dressing down of Rep. Limon for lying to the public about what he could and couldn’t do as mayor. Everybody else got the message except Limon who keeps making idiotic claims on behalf of her handlers (Fermine Acosta, Enrique Moreno, Four Names Allala and Norma Chavez).
It was a deeply embarrassing moment for her and yet it was likely she didn’t learn her lesson. Her staff is still taking calls from constituents and directly blaming the mayor for whatever the problem is. This signals that Allala and friends have quickly fallen out of love with Leeser since he’s not doing what they want him to do.
Candidates running in democratic primaries would be wise to make sure she isn’t attached to them.
Rep. Eddie Holguin wants to be Judge Eddie Holguin, but he’s doing everything in his power to make sure that doesn’t happen.
Holguin, running on what is an incorrect analysis of what happened in the mayoral race, is making the wrong move by not announcing now. He wants to keep his council seat for as long as possible, but is raising money for another office. It stinks of the sneaky crap dirty politicians pull. Holguin is NOT a dirty politician. Why he would start mimicking one now is beyond me.
Granted, when he leaves council his voting bloc will be crushed all of the time. It’s also likely a progressive will take his place. And to top it off, he’s ensuring Veronica Escobar skates to a second term. Everything he’s doing right now is bad for the Allala/Chavez crowd. He’s decreasing their representation in one chamber and securing the seat of their arch enemy in another. Way to go Eddie!
How is he ensuring Escobar’s win?
Good question, I’m glad you asked.
The voters who gave Escobar her mandate last time are still squarely in her corner. Escobar has done nothing out of character to turn off her base. She is a known quantity with a very very secure base. I will bet that 99 percent of the people who voted for Escobar will vote for her again. The doctors are pissed, but they have money instead of votes to go into battle with. They can’t win without Escobar losing a lot of her base… which she won’t.
There were roughly 26,000 democratic votes up for grabs in the 2010 primary. Escobar grabbed 18,000 of them. Whoever runs against Escobar needs to get all 8,000 of those other votes and find 10,000 more.
Apodaca and Holguin are going to split the anti-Escobar crowd (8,000 votes). Escobar voters are not going to look at Apodaca (running for the folks who supported Anthony Cobos and want a Cobos type person back in charge) as a viable, likable alternative. They surely aren’t going to vote for Holguin. So, if Holguin and Apodaca each get 4,000 votes from the previous anti-Escobar crowd, that means they will only need to find 14,000 brand new voters each to beat Escobar. Basically they need to have 150 to 200 percent of the previous turnout… IMPOSSIBLE.
Holguin is burning all of this down on his way out and I respect him so much for what he’s doing.
This bussing of people down to city council meetings has to stop. It’s a waste of taxpayer money that proves no point. Advocating for your position shouldn’t include a mob as a backup. If you’ve got a good point you won’t need the masses behind you to make it.
The lack of Republican candidates in races points to a very low point in El Paso Republican party history. The party leaders must step down, or aside, to let more capable folks take over. The days of filling the room with racist old women in ugly hats have to end.