I get a bunch of emails asking me when the announced candidates plan on starting their campaigns. I always answer "well, they kind of already did." And they always cleverly write back some version of "saying you're going to take out the garbage isn't the same as actually doing it." They're right.
I think people are inundated with presidential rhetoric and just can't focus on local races. Sure, some people are all up in arms over the EPISD bond issue, but the vast majority are off wondering if Trump ought write a book about how to date hot ladies (Chapter 1: Become famous. Chapter 2: Grab them by the...). Nobody cares about the mayor of El Paso... today. After Christmas - surely. In April - likely ready to start burning the signs of candidates they don't like.
The key to announcing early is scaring other people out of the race. Dee Margo scared off all the old rich guys - except for Shapleigh who is still an unknown... even though I hear every day he's definitely not running. David Saucedo cleared the young Latino business man plate. And all you have left is the Latina candidate.
None of the announced candidates want to fire too many shots (at least shots that cost money like mailers or TV) at what might turn out not to be an enemy. You really never know who is bluffing at this point. Announced candidates can drop out. It's wise to see who is going to show up to fight before you start throwing punches wildly around the room.
So, all of you hoping to see bloody local political battles will have to wait until Jesus blows out his candles and the once a year drunks finish their menudo to satisfy your political bloodlust.